Wednesday, April 4, 2012

Global Information Technology Report Highlights Emergence of a New Digital Divide

Global Information Technology Report Highlights Emergence of a New Digital Divide

Global Information Technology Report Highlights Emergence of a New Digital Divide

  • The 11th edition of The Global Information Technology Report 2012: Living in a Hyperconnected World was launched today with a special focus on the transformational impacts of ICT on the economy and society.
  • The report’s evolved framework introduces a new set of impact-oriented metrics to measure networked readiness on country competitiveness.
  • Sweden ranks first among 142 economies, followed by Singapore and Finland; the Nordic countries lead the ICT revolution.
  • The United States, ranked 8th, benefits from strong ICT infrastructure, but weaknesses in the political and regulatory environment hinder its overall performance.
  • Despite recent improvements in overall competitiveness rankings, the BRICS, led by China at 51st, lag behind more advanced economies.
  • Read the full report, watch interviews, access data and other materials at www.weforum.org/gitr.
Despite efforts over the past decade to develop information and communications technologies (ICT) infrastructure in developing economies, a new digital divide in terms of ICT impacts persists, according to the latest rankings of The Global Information Technology Report 2012: Living in a Hyperconnected World, released today by the World Economic Forum.
Sweden (1st) and Singapore (2nd) top the rankings in this year’s report in leveraging information and communications technologies to boost country competitiveness. Switzerland (5th), the Netherlands (6th), the United States (8th), Canada (9th) and the United Kingdom (10th) also show strong performances in the top 10.
However, ICT readiness in sub-Saharan Africa is still low, with most countries showing significant lags in connectivity due to insufficient development of ICT infrastructure, which remains too costly, and displaying poor skill levels that do not allow for an efficient use of the available technology. Even in those countries where ICT infrastructure has been improved, ICT-driven impacts on competitiveness and well-being trail behind, resulting in a new digital divide.
Despite improvements in many drivers of competitiveness, the BRICS countries – led by China (51st) – still face important challenges to more fully adopt and leverage ICT. An insufficient skills base and institutional weaknesses, especially in the business environment, present a number of shortcomings that stifle entrepreneurship and innovation.
With a record coverage of 142 economies worldwide, the report remains the most comprehensive and authoritative international assessment of the impact of ICT on competitiveness and the well-being of nations. After a two-year review process, the Networked Readiness Index (NRI) featured in the report has evolved to ensure that it captures the main drivers of a rapidly changing ICT industry and remains relevant for public- and private-sector decision-makers.
The NRI has increased its focus on the impacts of ICT to better align with areas of public policy. It has added new, relevant indicators such as mobile broadband subscriptions, and dropped other outdated indicators.
“The Networked Readiness Index (NRI) has been adopted by several governments as a valuable tool for assessing and leveraging technology for competitiveness and development. The success of the NRI emphasizes the importance of continuing to evolve its framework with the changing landscape of technology and the new opportunities it creates,” said Soumitra Dutta, Roland Berger Professor of Business and Technology at INSEAD, a co-editor of the report. “To measure this impact effectively, we have introduced a new set of impact-oriented metrics this year that assess not just the availability of technology, but also the ways in which economies put that technology to greater use. Considering how ICT has become omnipresent, the focus has moved from access to making the best use of ICT in order to improve business innovation, governance, citizens’ political participation and social cohesion,” added Dutta.
Under the theme Living in a Hyperconnected World, the report explores the causes and consequences of living in an environment where the Internet is accessible and immediate; people and businesses can communicate instantly; and machines are interconnected. The exponential growth of mobile devices, big data and social media is a driver of this process of hyperconnectivity and, consequently, fundamental transformations in all areas of society are being witnessed. This year’s report tracks how societies leverage ICT to derive important competitive advantages and increase social well-being.
“Hyperconnectivity is redefining relationships between individuals, consumers and enterprises, citizens and state, and we are beginning to see fundamental transformations in all areas of the economy and society,” said Robert Greenhill, Chief Business Officer, World Economic Forum. “Traditional organizations and industry infrastructures are facing challenges as industries converge. This will inevitably have consequences for policy and regulation as regulators will have to mediate the blurring lines between sectors and industries and will be obligated to oversee more facets in a pervasive way,” he added.
“We believe that in an emerging era of hyperconnectivity, ICT will enable a bold new chapter that is entwined with the sustained growth of the global economy,” said Sun Yafang, Chairwoman of the Board, Huawei Technologies. ”The importance of ICT goes beyond its role as a driver of future economic growth as smart devices and cloud services continue to become a greater part of our daily lives. By strategically integrating ICT as part of overall economic growth plans, countries are in a better position to capitalize on the hyperconnected global economy and increase competitiveness on a global scale.”
“Digital applications offer unprecedented potential for economic, social and political development,” said Karim Sabbagh, Senior Partner and Global Head of Communication, Media and Technology Practice at Booz & Company. “Policy-makers need to be aware of both growth and transformational opportunities, and how they can craft policies that promote ubiquitous digitization in a timely manner. They must facilitate the creation of new models enabled by digitization at a faster pace than the old models are breaking down,” he added.
The report is the result of a long-standing partnership between the World Economic Forum and INSEAD, a leading international business school, within the framework of the Forum’s Industry Partnership Programme – particularly its Information Technologies & Telecommunications Industry Team – and the Centre for Global Competitiveness and Performance.
The Networked Readiness Index uses a combination of data from publicly available sources and the results of the Executive Opinion Survey, a comprehensive annual survey conducted by the Forum in collaboration with partner institutes, a network of over 150 leading research institutes and business organizations. This survey of over 15,000 executives provides insight into areas critical for networked readiness.
The presentation of the NRI rankings is followed by contributions by academics and industry experts, exploring the drivers and consequences for individuals, businesses and governments of living in a hyperconnected world, including:
  1. Convergence of ICT
  2. Issues in a hyperconnected world, with a focus on the role of regulation
  3. Network neutrality
  4. Increasing importance of mobile broadband to empower individuals
  5. Cost of broadband
  6. Role of in-memory technology and analytics to harness the power of big data
  7. Role of real-time analytics to make sense of big data
  8. Value of digital traces for commercial strategy and public policy
  9. The promise and perils of hyperconnectivity for organizations and societies
  10. Maximizing the impact of digitization
  11. Effect of technology in education
In addition, two policy case studies highlighting efforts to develop and spread the positive effects of ICT in Azerbaijan and Mauritius are covered.
The report contains detailed country profiles for the 142 economies featured in the study, providing a snapshot of each economy’s level of ICT uptake and economic and social impacts. Also included is an extensive section of data tables for the 53 indicators used in the computation of the index.
The editors of the report are Soumitra Dutta, Roland Berger Professor of Business and Technology, INSEAD, and BeƱat Bilbao, Associate Director and Economist, Centre for Global Competitiveness and Performance, World Economic Forum.

World Economic Forum ranks Pakistan at 102, dropping 14 points on the Global Information Technology Report 2012

World Economic Forum ranks Pakistan at 102, dropping 14 points on the Global Information Technology Report 2012.

Mishal Pakistan in partnership with the Center for Global Competitiveness and Performance, World Economic Forum releases Pakistan’s ranking on the Global Information Technology Report, measuring the Network Readiness Index of 142 economies over 10 different pillars.

The lack of seriousness from the government of Pakistan reflects in the 11th Global Information Technology Report 2012 of the World Economic Forum. According to the Report, the Ministry of Telecom and Information Technology being headed by Syed Yousuf Raza Gilani, Prime Minister of Pakistan; shows lack of efficiency and poor governance at the part of the Government of Pakistan.

Despite efforts over the past decade to develop information and communications technologies (ICT) infrastructure in developing economies, a new digital divide in terms of ICT impacts persists, according to the latest rankings of The Global Information Technology Report (GITR) 2012: Living in a Hyper connected World, released today by the World Economic Forum. The GITR indicates Pakistan’s challenges and opportunities on 10 different pillars, where Pakistan has not been able to show any remarkable improvements in the previous year.

Pakistan lost its competitive advantage on the fixed broadband internet tariffs, where it dropped the ranking from 36 in 2011 to 79 in 2012, which means residential monthly fee in terms of purchasing power parity (PPP). The extent of information and communications technologies improving access for all citizens to basic services (health, education, financial services, etc.) also took a dip to 113 with losing 30 points from last year. Government prioritizing of ICT also achieved a rank of 103 from 83 last year, making a variation of 20 points.

A serious concern and bottleneck on Pakistan’s business and entrepreneurship initiatives have been identified by the GITR on Pakistan’s policies on the tax regime introduced in 2011, this actually sum of profit tax, labor tax and social contributions, property taxes, turnover taxes, and other taxes, as a share (%) of commercial profits, Pakistan stood 58 this year from 39 last out of 142 economies in the world. The GITR also identified that the extent of information and communication technologies creating new organizational models are also weakening in Pakistan, going 81 from 63 last year.

However, Pakistan improved its competitiveness in certain areas including, efficiency of the legal system in challenging regulations, where Pakistan improved from 95 in 2011 to 79 in 2012 out of 142 countries. The judicial independence was also highlighted as one of the advantages in Pakistan, where the improvements were made on 11 points, thus ranking Pakistan at 62 in the world. The effectiveness of the law making body has also improved 9 points, with a ranking of 93 this year. The quality of education system and the capacity for innovation also shows improvement of 7 points each ranking at 79 and 51 respectively.


On the ten pillars of the Global Information Technology Report (GITR) 2012 out of 142 countries Pakistan scored as follows: on the 1st pillar; Political and regulatory environment (110), 2nd pillar; business and innovation environment (96); 3rd pillar, infrastructure and digital content (108); 4th pillar doing well on the affordability pillar (26); 5th pillar; Skills (129), 6th pillar; individual usage (104); 7th pillar; business usage (96), 8th pillar; government usage (103); 9th pillar; economic impacts (94) and on the 10th pillar; of social impacts (99).


Pakistan's Ranking on the Global Information Technology Report 2012

Sweden stood (1st) and Singapore (2nd) top the rankings in this year’s report in leveraging information and communications technologies to boost country competitiveness. Switzerland (5th), the Netherlands (6th), the United States (8th), Canada (9th) and the United Kingdom (10th) also show strong performances in the top 10.

However, ICT readiness in sub-Saharan Africa is still low, with most countries showing significant lags in connectivity due to insufficient development of ICT infrastructure, which remains too costly, and displaying poor skill levels that do not allow for an efficient use of the available technology. Even in those countries where ICT infrastructure has been improved, ICT-driven impacts on competitiveness and well-being trail behind, resulting in a new digital divide.

Despite improvements in many drivers of competitiveness, the BRICS countries– led by China (51st) – still face important challenges to more fully adopt and leverage ICT. An insufficient skills base and institutional weaknesses, especially in the business environment, present a number of shortcomings that stifle entrepreneurship and innovation.

With a record coverage of 142 economies worldwide, the report remains the most comprehensive and authoritative international assessment of the impact of ICT on competitiveness and the well-being of nations. After a two-year review process, the Networked Readiness Index (NRI) featured in the report has evolved to ensure that it captures the main drivers of a rapidly changing ICT industry and remains relevant for public- and private-sector decision-makers.

Established in 2003, as a social enterprise, Mishal has recently being signed as the country partner institution of the World Economic Forum’s Center for Global Competitiveness and Performance. The Data on Pakistan for the for Global Competitiveness Report for 2012-13 and the Global Information Technology Report 2013 is being collected through the Executive Opinion Surveys.

Mishal is at the forefront of devising and delivering communication solutions for a cross-section of stakeholders and is actively pursuing and supporting initiatives to improve the state of media and journalism in Pakistan. Mishal has recently launched Pakistan’s first journalism awards to create media diversity and to promote journalism across all platforms of media delivery mechanisms, including print, television, radio and the internet journalism.

Mishal has undertaken the task to build the capacity of press cubs and journalist associations in Pakistan by creating a learning platform for the media and journalists across Pakistan. The initiative is building the capacity through interactive workshops, conferences, collaborative thinking and knowledge sharing. It is also focusing on improving the competitiveness of the media by creating competition amongst the various verticals through media and journalism awards for the professionals in the field of communications by creating a national knowledge grid.

The World Economic Forum is an independent international organization committed to improving the state of the world by engaging business, political, academic and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas.

Incorporated as a not-for-profit foundation in 1971, and head-quartered in Geneva, Switzerland, the Forum is tied to no political, partisan or national interests.

Monday, November 28, 2011

War on error - Divisible pools, Undivided fools!

War on error: Divisible pools, Undivided fools! | War on error




Divisible pools, Undivided fools!


One popular saying of the wise goes that ‘in retrospect everyone is intelligent,’ but in the case of the much touted 7th National Finance Commission award and the much celebrated 18th Amendment in Pakistan’s constitution, the government of Pakistan can hardly say that looking back. Considering that imbroglio the government finds itself, the incumbents probably don’t want to look back at these achievements as significant anymore. And there are credible reasons why not.

It was envisaged that the devolution of governance from federal to provincial levels of governance enshrined in the 18th Amendment and the magnanimity of the NFC award will result in improvements of regulations and better governance and not to mention a more robust revenue generation regime. None of that envisaged is being realized, despite best intentions believe experts. According to experts if anything, both these achievement have actually given rise to serious regulatory and governance issues and made it difficult to initiate fresh revenue generation measures both at the federal and provincial levels.

Some of these disturbing revelations have been made in a confidential report of study funded by the Competitive Support Fund — a joint initiative of the Government of Pakistan’s finance ministry and USAID — and prepared by a team of leading experts led by Shahid Javed Burki. The committee comprises of Dr Aisha G. Pasha, two former federal secretaries Ahmed Waqar and Shahab Khwaja, Dr Hilton Root, Imran Khan and Mehr Shah. Ostensibly the team was scheduled to share the report with all provincial chief ministers and the federal finance minister last week.

“The federal and provincial governments differ over the distribution of some financial assets like Workers’ Welfare Fund and Employees’ Old-Age Benefit Institution. The WWF’s financial deposits are estimated at Rs81 billion while the EOBI has assets worth Rs148 billion,” reviles the report. “The distribution of assets owned by autonomous bodies and attached departments of devolved ministries is also proving to be contentious as provinces are demanding the equitable distribution of assets, including that of geographically immovable fixed assets,” further discloses the report.

Interestingly, according to the experts on the team, the parliamentary implementation commission, which was setup to facilitate devolution, could not fully deliver before it ran out of life, as it officially ceased to exist effective 30 June this year. The limited time given to the implementation commission versus the expansive scope of the assignment it had on its hands left a big work in progress in its wake with no takers.

Overall, the budgeted increase in revenue transfers to the provinces due to the NFC Award in relation to the presidential order is Rs222 billion in 2010-11, but total transfers were diluted by about Rs180 billion as a result of lower-than-expected resources generation and 50 per cent increase in salaries of government employees announced by the federal government.

According to the report despite increase in provincial shares, the provincial governments believe that the devolved responsibilities should be funded by the federal government with additional revenue commitments. This impasse between the federal and the provincial levels of governance the experts believe revolves around three factors; first the NFC Award preceded the 18th Amendment so it could not have influenced the resource allocation decisions of the NFC because additional functional allocations to provinces had not been decided at that time.

Secondly, it is likely that the provinces will not receive a substantial portion of the additional revenues as was originally assured by the federal government, this is attributed to shortfalls in federal tax collections. Third, the federal government unilaterally announced a 50 per cent increase in salaries and allowances for government employees in the budget of 2010-11, which will deprive the provinces of a substantial proportion of the revenue gains. “The issue of financing the additional responsibilities devolved to the provinces therefore remains unresolved and is likely to be taken by the Council of Common Interest (CCI) going forward” states the report.

CSF report further highlights that despite the fact that NFC Award has expanded the basis for a significant sharing of resources with the provincial governments, the 18th Amendment made only modest changes in the allocation of fiscal powers between the two levels of government. “As such, the high dependence of provincial governments on federal transfers is likely to continue in the foreseeable future.”

Pakistani institutions, specially the key regulators are already ranked really low in terms of performance effectiveness in the world. Experts believe there are grave indications that the regulatory system will come under further stress as a result of devolution specially in the already fragile area of social service delivery. On the flip side, the process of devolution has been put on hold because the decision to devolve the Higher Education Commission (HEC) has been challenged in the Supreme Court. Moreover, the decision to devolve the Ministry of Health has raised concerns over international obligations such as commitment to the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). “The impact of devolution on the regulatory system of Pakistan has not been fully appreciated. A likely consequence is that in some areas, particularly social service delivery, there may be setbacks as the provinces begin to reflect on their own regulatory requirements and priorities.”

Some things never change; in case of Pakistani style of governance it will always be the tentative and incomplete planning that will never change, this coupled of course with poor governance of those allegedly concerned-for-public leaders. Enough said?

The News International - Money Matters: Divisible pools, undivided fools!

Money Matters



Divisible pools, undivided fools!


One popular saying of the wise goes that ‘in retrospect everyone is intelligent’, but in the case of the much touted 7th National Finance Commission (NFC) award and the much celebrated 18th Amendment in Pakistan’s constitution, the government of Pakistan can hardly say that looking back. Considering the imbroglio which the government finds itself in, the incumbents probably don’t want to look back at these achievements as significant anymore. And there are credible reasons why not.

It was envisaged that the devolution of governance from federal to provincial levels as enshrined under the 18th Amendment and the magnanimity of the NFC award would result in improved regulations and better governance, and not to mention a more robust revenue genweration regime. None of that envisaged is being realised, despite best intentions believe experts. According to experts if anything, both these achievement have actually given rise to serious regulatory and governance issues and made it difficult to initiate fresh revenue generation measures both at the federal and provincial levels.

Some of these disturbing revelations have been made in a confidential report of study funded by the Competitiveness Support Fund — a joint initiative of the Ministry of Finance and USAID — and prepared by a team of leading experts led by Shahid Javed Burki. The committee comprises of Dr Aisha G. Pasha, two former federal secretaries Ahmed Waqar and Shahab Khwaja, Dr Hilton Root, Imran Khan and Mehr Shah. Ostensibly the team was scheduled to share the report with all provincial chief ministers and the federal finance minister last week.



“The federal and provincial governments differ over the distribution of some financial assets like Workers’ Welfare Fund (WWF) and Employees’ Old-Age Benefit Institution. The WWF’s financial deposits are estimated at Rs81 billion while the EOBI has assets worth Rs148 billion,” reviles the report. “The distribution of assets owned by autonomous bodies and attached departments of devolved ministries is also proving to be contentious as provinces are demanding the equitable distribution of assets, including that of geographically immovable fixed assets,” further discloses the report. 

Interestingly, according to the experts on the team, the parliamentary implementation commission, which was setup to facilitate devolution, could not fully deliver before it ran out of life, as it officially ceased to exist effective June 30 this year. The limited time given to the implementation commission versus the expansive scope of the assignment it had on its hands left a big work in progress in its wake with no takers.

Overall, the budgeted increase in revenue transfers to the provinces due to the NFC Award in relation to the presidential order is Rs222 billion in 2010-11, but total transfers were diluted by about Rs180 billion as a result of lower-than-expected resource generation and 50 per cent increase in salaries of government employees announced by the federal government.

According to the report despite increase in provincial shares, the provincial governments believe that the devolved responsibilities should be funded by the federal government with additional revenue commitments. This impasse between the federal and the provincial levels of governance, the experts believe, revolves around three factors; first the NFC Award preceded the 18th Amendment so it could not have influenced the resource allocation decisions of the NFC because additional functional allocations to provinces had not been decided at that time.

Secondly, it is likely that the provinces will not receive a substantial portion of the additional revenues as was originally assured by the federal government. This is attributed to shortfalls in federal tax collections. Thirdly, the federal government unilaterally announced a 50 per cent increase in salaries and allowances for government employees in federal budget 2010-11, which will deprive the provinces of a substantial proportion of revenue gains. “The issue of financing the additional responsibilities devolved to the provinces therefore remains unresolved and is likely to be taken by the Council of Common Interest (CCI) going forward,” states the report.

CSF report further highlights that despite the fact that NFC Award has expanded the basis for a significant sharing of resources with the provincial governments, the 18th Amendment made only modest changes in the allocation of fiscal powers between the two levels of government. “As such, the high dependence of provincial governments on federal transfers is likely to continue in the foreseeable future.”

Pakistani institutions, specially the key regulators are already ranked really low in terms of performance effectiveness in the world. Experts believe there are grave indications that the regulatory system will come under further stress as a result of devolution, especially in the already fragile area of social service delivery. On the flip side, the process of devolution has been put on hold because the decision to devolve the Higher Education Commission (HEC) has been challenged in the Supreme Court. Moreover, the decision to devolve the Ministry of Health has raised concerns over international obligations such as commitment to the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). “The impact of devolution on the regulatory system of Pakistan has not been fully appreciated. A likely consequence is that in some areas, particularly social service delivery, there may be setbacks as the provinces begin to reflect on their own regulatory requirements and priorities.”

Some things never change; in case of Pakistani style of governance it will always be the tentative and incomplete planning that will never change, this coupled of course with poor governance of those allegedly concerned-for-public leaders. Enough said?

The writer is a Karachi-based 

communication consultant.

Irfan Aamir can be reached at:

irfan.aamir@gmail.com

Saturday, November 26, 2011

Daily Times: 2 important developments: NFC Award and ratification of 18th Amendment


Saturday, November 26, 2011

2 important developments: NFC Award and ratification of 18th Amendment

Staff Report

KARACHI: Two extremely important developments have taken place in Pakistan recently - the announcement of the 7th National Finance Commission (NFC) Award in November 2009 and the parliament’s ratification of the 18th Amendment in April 2010.

Under the NFC Award an unprecedented 56 percent of revenue constituting divisible resources has been committed to the provinces.

Under the 18th Amendment 18 ministries have been devolved from the Centre to the provinces.

Together, the two initiatives aim at fundamentally restructuring the fiscal and functional equation between the central and provincial governments in the country.

Although the 18th Amendment is expansive in scope, the primary purpose of this study is to focus on the intergovernmental financial aspect of the process of devolution.

The study includes an assessment of the current public finance management practices of provincial governments and the human resource and regulatory impact likely to arise out of the restructuring exercise.

Eighteen ministries stand devolved to the provinces as a result of the amendment. The intent is to have a more rational and balanced distribution of functions between the federal and provincial governments, thereby leading to improved service delivery.

Amendments on the fiscal side are relatively minor; sales tax on services and capital value tax (CVT) on immovable property have been explicitly recognised as revenue sources in provincial jurisdiction.

The aim is to begin enhancing provincial own-tax revenue and curtailing dependence on federal transfers.

The roles of two councils, the Council of Common Interest (CCI) and the National Economic Council (NEC) have been enhanced.

The amendment states that future NFCs shall not reduce the share of resources allocated to the provinces by a previous commission. Provisions to monitor the implementation of the award have also been included. Provinces have been entitled to the entire proceeds of the excise duty on oil and natural gas, in addition to being given the authority to raise domestic or foreign loans with the consent of the federal government.

The office of the Auditor General of Pakistan (AGP) has been strengthened, giving it a constitutional four-year term of office. It has also been empowered to audit accounts of the federal and provincial governments and all of their bodies, corporations, and authorities.

An Implementation Commission (IC) was set up under Clause (9) of Article 270AA to monitor the devolution process. Members of the parliament constituted the IC under the chairmanship of Senator Raza Rabbani.

Although the share in total transfers for Sindh and Punjab show a small reduction compared to previous awards, the absolute rupee amount available to all provinces has increased: the largest increase in absolute value is for Balochistan (142 percent) and the smallest is for Sindh (40 percent).

Despite the increase, the provincial governments contend that the devolved responsibilities should be funded with additional revenue commitments by the federal government.

The federal and provincial governments differ over the distribution of some financial assets. Examples include the Workers’ Welfare Fund (WWF) and the Employees’ Old-Age Benefits Institution (EOBI). The WWF’s financial deposits are estimated at Rs 81 billion while the EOBI has assets worth Rs 148 billion.

The distribution of assets owned by autonomous bodies and attached departments of devolved ministries is also proving to be contentious as provinces are demanding the equitable distribution of assets, including that of geographically immovable fixed assets.

Overall, the budgeted increase in revenue transfers to provinces due to the 7th NFC Award in relation to the Presidential Order of 2006 is Rs 222 billion in 2010-11.

However, an important issue has been the actual realisation of this budgeted gain.

The total amount of transfers as envisaged by the 7th NFC Award is likely to be diluted by an estimated Rs 180 billion as a result of lower-than-expected resource generation and the 50 percent increase in salaries of government employees announced by federal authorities.

Overall, the cost of salary increases alone is estimated at about Rs 120 billion for the four provincial governments combined.

This will leave the provinces with net transfers of Rs 49 billion for 2010-11. Assuming that this state of affairs persists beyond this year, provincial annual liability for development projects alone would be of the order of Rs 51 billion. Around Rs 6-7 billion need to be added to this amount to reflect current expenditure on the functions being transferred to the provinces, bringing the additional annual burden on them to an estimated Rs 9-10 billion.

The NFC document clearly states the ‘provinces would initiate steps to effectively tax the agriculture and real estate sectors. Federal government and provincial governments may take necessary administrative and legislative steps accordingly’. There are indications that the regulatory system will come under stress as a result of devolution in the area of social services delivery.

For instance, the decision to devolve the Higher Education Commission (HEC), the agency responsible for developing education curriculums, was challenged in the Supreme Court. As a result, the process initiated as part of the devolution exercise was put on hold for further review by the CCI. Similarly, the decision to devolve the Ministry of Health (MoH) has raised concerns about the country’s international obligations such as commitment to the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs).

Punjab has reviewed 126 pieces of legislation and has prepared amendments to 27 of them. In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP), Sindh and Balochistan, some progress has been made on the amendment and adoption of regulations required to receive and deliver functions devolved under the 18th Amendment.

Access to increased finances may result in increased current expenses by the provinces, at least in the short-term. Past experience indicates that this is usually due to sanctioning expenses that have been kept on hold in tighter budgetary scenarios, and include maintenance, procurement, and renewal of hardware. It is clear that the federal government’s fiscal position will deteriorate. Revenue receipts available to the federal government after provincial transfers are in the range of 55-64 percent of total expenditure.

Since federal expenditure is unlikely to fall in the short-term given its components of debt service payments and military expenses, the need to augment federal and provincial resources cannot be overemphasized.

It appears additional revenue transfers due to the 7th NFC Award will not be enough to finance the additional liability arising from the transfer of functions under the 18th Amendment.

Since the focus for development is largely expected to shift to the provinces along with simultaneous shrinkage in federal resource availability, sharper prioritization and rationalization of the federal PSDP has become indispensible.

Currently, the throw-forward of federal projects exceeds Rs 2.5 trillion for 2,000 projects under implementation. With an annual PSDP of more than Rs 200–300 billion, on-going projects may take up to 15 years to complete, which implies huge time and cost overruns.

Monday, November 21, 2011

DAWN Editorial: Devolution problems | Newspaper | DAWN.COM

Editorial: Devolution problems | Newspaper | DAWN.COM

Devolution problems

GIVEN that Pakistan has had a highly centralised governance structure since Independence, the devolution of power as envisaged by the 18th Amendment was bound to be a complex affair. This has proven to be true, for in the year and a half since the landmark legislation was passed, there have been teething problems, such as the absorption of employees of devolved departments. 


The latest issue to crop up has been of the division of assets. As reported in this paper, the federal government and the provinces seem to be locked in a tussle over financial assets worth over Rs230bn along with physical assets belonging to the Workers` Welfare Fund and the Employees` Old-Age Benefit Institution. The issue has been raised in a confidential report authored by the finance ministry and USAID.
If this and other issues that may arise are to be resolved amicably between the centre and the provinces, it is important to revisit the spirit of the 18th Amendment. The legislation was passed with the consensus of all political parties in parliament, hence its guiding principles must be respected. Particularly, the moving spirit of the law — that of democratic participatory federalism — must not be lost sight of. And to realise such lofty goals it is essential to reconcile conflicting economic interests both among the federating units and between the provinces and Islamabad. The 18th Amendment very clearly states that the shares of the provinces in federal services, including autonomous bodies and corporations, must be given to them. Hence the funds mentioned above need to be transferred without hindrance. There has been criticism of the provinces lacking the capacity to handle devolved responsibilities. But then, in certain areas the federal government has just as poor a record where capacity is concerned. Therefore, capacity building is required at both levels and should be complementary, and must not be used as an excuse to withhold powers or funds.
Workers' Welfare Fund - the Cash Cow 
We feel that a long-term mechanism is needed to resolve such issues. The implementation commission that was supposed to oversee the process of devolution was wrapped up in June. Until all outstanding issues are finalised and devolution is complete — which may be an open-ended process — an authority is required to resolve disputes over assets and other details. Parliament is perhaps the ideal forum to do this, as it was parliament which laid the groundwork for devolution. If the implementation commission cannot be revived perhaps the Council of Common Interests can be tasked with monitoring devolution. But for this the CCI will have to play a more active role, primarily by meeting at regular intervals.

Competitiveness: DAWN: Devolution: Centre, provinces still fighting over share in assets

Competitiveness: DAWN: Devolution: Centre, provinces still fighting over share in assets


Devolution: Centre, provinces still fighting over share in assets


Khaleeq Kiani | Back Page | From the DAWN Newspaper

ISLAMABAD, Nov 20: Eighteen months after the passage of the 18th Amendment, the federal and provincial governments are still fighting over their shares in more than Rs230 billion worth of financial assets and large numbers of physical assets of various public sector corporations.

The 18th Amendment and the Seventh National Finance Commission award have also given rise to serious regulatory and governance issues and made it difficult to initiate fresh revenue generation measures both at the federal and provincial levels.

These are the main points highlighted in a confidential report of study funded by the Competitive Support Fund — a joint initiative of the finance ministry and USAID — and prepared by a team of experts led by Shahid Javed Burki and comprising Dr Aisha G. Pasha, two former federal secretaries Ahmed Waqar and Shahab Khwaja, Dr Hilton Root, Imran Khan and Mehr Shah.

The team will share the report with chief ministers and the federal finance minister this week.
“The federal and provincial governments differ over the distribution of some financial assets like Workers’ Welfare Fund and Employees’ Old-Age Benefit Institution. The WWF’s financial deposits are estimated at Rs81 billion while the EOBI has assets worth Rs148 billion,” said the report, a copy of which is available with Dawn.

“The distribution of assets owned by autonomous bodies and attached departments of devolved ministries is also proving to be contentious as provinces are demanding the equitable distribution of assets, including that of geographically immovable fixed assets,” it said.

The implementation commission that was set up to facilitate devolution could not fully deliver, given the limited time available to it and the scope of its assignment as it ceased to exist on June 30 this year.

Overall, the budgeted increase in revenue transfers to the provinces due to the NFC Award in relation to the presidential order is Rs222 billion in 2010-11, but total transfers were diluted by about Rs180 billion as a result of lower-than-expected resources generation and 50 per cent increase in salaries of government employees announced by the federal authorities.

The report says that despite percentage increase in provincial shares, the provincial governments contend that the devolved responsibilities should be funded by the federal government with additional revenue commitments. This is based on three points; first the NFC Award preceded the 18th Amendment so it could not have influenced the resource allocation decisions of the NFC because additional functional allocations to provinces had not been decided at that time.

Second, the provinces will not receive as large a portion of additional revenues as was originally claimed by the federal authorities due to shortfalls in federal tax collections. Third, the federal government unilaterally announced a 50 per cent increase in salaries and allowances for government employees in the budget of 2010-11, which will deprive the provinces of a substantial proportion of the revenue gains. “The issue of financing the additional responsibilities devolved to the provinces therefore remains unresolved and is likely to be taken by the CCI going forward.”

The report says that although the NFC Award expanded the basis for a significant sharing of resources with the provincial governments, the 18th Amendment made only modest changes in the allocation of fiscal powers between the two levels of government. “As such, the high dependence of provincial governments on federal transfers is likely to continue in the foreseeable future.”

The experts found that there were indications that the regulatory system will come under stress as a result of devolution in the area of social service delivery. There is already uncertainty with respect to functions of the federal government. For instance, the process of devolution has been put on hold because the decision to devolve the Higher Education Commission has been challenged in the Supreme Court.Similarly, the decision to devolve the ministry of health has raised concerns over international obligations such as commitment to the millennium development goals. “The impact of devolution on the regulatory system of Pakistan has not been fully appreciated. A likely consequence is that in some areas, particularly social service delivery, there may be setbacks as the provinces begin to reflect on their own regulatory requirements and priorities.”

Also a possible impact of increased transfers from the centre could be reduced fiscal effort in terms of own tax revenue generation and collection by the provinces. “A continuation of the imbalance in fiscal responsibility is likely to be damaging for the federal as well as provincial governments in terms of unmet fiscal targets and inadequate resource availability for improved services delivery,” says the report, adding “it is clear that centre’s fiscal position will deteriorate.”




The article is available on Dawn website: http://www.dawn.com/2011/11/21/devolution-centre-provinces-still-fighting-over-share-in-assets.html

The Author is a leading journalist from Pakistan, writing for the daily DAWN.

He can be reached at: Khaleeqkiani@gmail.com